Green Pool - Green Pool Commodity Specialists

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LEADERS IN SUGAR AND BIOFUELS ANALYSIS

Mapping
tomorrow's
markets

Comprehensive and skillful analysis of global sugar and biofuels markets, from globally respected experts with extensive, in-depth experience

Comprehensive and skillful analysis of global sugar
and biofuels markets, from globally respected
experts with extensive, in-depth experience

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Latest Sugar Report

Green Pool Ethanol Arbs & Parities Report

7 October 2026

• Brazil: Sugar prices surge after disappointing crush & sugar mix results in FH Sep

• Brazil: Hydrous/gasoline parities rise further but remain very favourable to ethanol

• US: Production margins soar on plunging corn cost; D6 back at a premium vs. ethanol

• China: Fuel ethanol prices fall before the holiday; output rebounds in August

[...]

• Brazil: Sugar prices surge after disappointing crush & sugar mix results in FH Sep

• Brazil: Hydrous/gasoline parities rise further but remain very favourable to ethanol

• US: Production margins soar on plunging corn cost; D6 back at a premium vs. ethanol

• China: Fuel ethanol prices fall before the holiday; output rebounds in August

Latest Sugar Report

Green Pool Sugar Crop Weather Report

6 October 2026

• CS Brazil: Further showers and storms forecast this week

• NNE Brazil: Progress 4% ahead of last year at 7.8 mln mt

• Argentina: Sugar totals 1.38 mln mt to end Sep, -10% y-o-y

• Peru: Sugar from Jan to Jul amounted to 578 k mt, +5% y-o-y

• EU27 & UK: Netherlands outlook improves, not so in France

• China: 52 mills are operating [...]

• CS Brazil: Further showers and storms forecast this week

• NNE Brazil: Progress 4% ahead of last year at 7.8 mln mt

• Argentina: Sugar totals 1.38 mln mt to end Sep, -10% y-o-y

• Peru: Sugar from Jan to Jul amounted to 578 k mt, +5% y-o-y

• EU27 & UK: Netherlands outlook improves, not so in France

• China: 52 mills are operating in Yunnan, same as last year

• India: Monsoon withdraws from UP & much of Maharashtra

• Thailand: Fine start to October but further rain forecast

Latest Sugar Report

Green Pool Global Weekly Sugar Report

5 October 2026

• Raws posted large gains post expiry, Mar 27 up 143 pts to 19.93 c/lb

• Oct 26 expiry saw 1.452 mln mt Brazils delivered to a single receiver

• White sugar also ran higher, but not as much as the raws side

• Ldn Dec up $28.9 to $531.5/mt, while Dec/Mar WP fell to $92.1/t

• Big news was extent of wet weather impact on CS Brazil FH Sep

• [...]

• Raws posted large gains post expiry, Mar 27 up 143 pts to 19.93 c/lb

• Oct 26 expiry saw 1.452 mln mt Brazils delivered to a single receiver

• White sugar also ran higher, but not as much as the raws side

• Ldn Dec up $28.9 to $531.5/mt, while Dec/Mar WP fell to $92.1/t

• Big news was extent of wet weather impact on CS Brazil FH Sep

• COT + aftermath bring concerns re producer margin stress

• India - govt release of large 1.4 mln mt FH Oct, mills gearing to start

• Week Ahead - Oct raws expiry, Demand outlook, Weekly Weather

Latest Sugar Report

Green Pool Bio-Based Diesel Feedstocks Report

2 October 2026

• Brazil: Soy plantings reach 3.9%, CONAB expects 182 mln mt

• US: Soy 17% harvested, rain this week to slow south harvest

• Canada: Canola harvest underway, 22.1 mln mt forecast

• Indonesia: GAPKI expects 2027 palm oil output to fall -5%

• Malaysia: Sep palm oil output expected to increase m-o-m

• Australia: Canola production to [...]

• Brazil: Soy plantings reach 3.9%, CONAB expects 182 mln mt

• US: Soy 17% harvested, rain this week to slow south harvest

• Canada: Canola harvest underway, 22.1 mln mt forecast

• Indonesia: GAPKI expects 2027 palm oil output to fall -5%

• Malaysia: Sep palm oil output expected to increase m-o-m

• Australia: Canola production to fall -5% to 7.3 mln mt in 2026

• EU: EC trims French sunflower output; bumps EU27 higher

• EU: Drought to cause decline in 26/27 rapeseed area

Latest Sugar Report

Green Pool Ethanol Crop Weather Report

2 October 2026

• Brazil: Wet fortnight forecast for CS Brazil

• Brazil: Summer corn plantings advance well in the south

• Argentina: 19.3 mln mt cane milled to end-September

• USA: Corn 18% harvested, winter wheat 27% planted

• EU: Corn crop pegged at 48.3 mln mt, -20% lower on year

• China: Harvest underway in NE, weather conditions mixed

• [...]

• Brazil: Wet fortnight forecast for CS Brazil

• Brazil: Summer corn plantings advance well in the south

• Argentina: 19.3 mln mt cane milled to end-September

• USA: Corn 18% harvested, winter wheat 27% planted

• EU: Corn crop pegged at 48.3 mln mt, -20% lower on year

• China: Harvest underway in NE, weather conditions mixed

• India: Monsoon to depart UP and parts of Maharashtra soon

• Thailand: Very wet September weather boosts crop outlook

Latest Sugar Report

Green Pool Bio-Based Diesel Market Report

25 September 2026

• US: Discussions underway on a possible 90-day diesel export ban to curb prices

• US: Jan-July HVO exports were 1.1 mln mt; unclear if at risk from diesel export ban

• EU Trade: Both extra-EU FAME and HVO imports showed strong results for Jan-July

• China: FAME and HVO exports fell m-o-m in Aug 26 but YTD exports are up by 70%

• China: SAF exports [...]

• US: Discussions underway on a possible 90-day diesel export ban to curb prices

• US: Jan-July HVO exports were 1.1 mln mt; unclear if at risk from diesel export ban

• EU Trade: Both extra-EU FAME and HVO imports showed strong results for Jan-July

• China: FAME and HVO exports fell m-o-m in Aug 26 but YTD exports are up by 70%

• China: SAF exports surged in Aug 26 to their highest this year on shipments to the EU

• Indonesia: B50 biodiesel rollout progressing well, with 94% of stations supplying B50

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As a trusted source of forward-looking insight, our team has extensive and in-depth experience in sugar and biofuels markets, blending climate and crop agronomy specialisation with broad fundamental and economic analysis.

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